The Ultimate Upset: Are 16 seeds due?
March Madness is all about the upset: David taking down Goliath and shocking the world. But since the NCAA Tournament expanded to 64 teams in 1985, a No. 16 seed has never defeated a No. 1 seed. According to FiveThirtyEight probability data, we should have seen at least three 16 vs. 1 upsets by now. There have been some close calls, but why hasn’t it happened yet? What are the odds and determining factors? Will we ever see The Ultimate Upset?
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https://abcnews.go.com/fivethirtyeight/video/ultimate-upset-16-seeds-due-56175521
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/a-no-16-seed-will-win-but-dont-bet-on-it/
http://www.imdb.com/title/tt6649824